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Mastercard sees Budapest and Warsaw amongst top ten world cities driving growth
With global economic growth expected to be driven primarily by emerging economies at an unprecedented rate of 12 to 1 compared to rich-world economies (according to the International Monetary Fund), emerging markets are becoming increasingly important investment and business centers. Responding to this reality and providing guidance in today's economic environment is a new study from MasterCard Worldwide, the Worldwide Centers of Commerce(TM): Emerging Markets Index.The Index provides valuable insights into the 65 leading cities driving growth within more than 30 emerging markets. Cities are generally considered to be leading indicators for national economies, making the study an important barometer of larger global economic trends and growth potential over time.
“Given the current economic climate, MasterCard is focused on providing valuable insights that assist our customers in identifying new market opportunities for the future. The Emerging Markets Index is key to that commitment,” said Walt Macnee, President, Global Markets, MasterCard Worldwide. “By evaluating 65 emerging market cities and their increasingly important roles in global commerce, the Index offers companies a roadmap for where commerce is headed next.”
The Index evaluates 65 cities on eight dimensions related to their business climate, political environment, economic growth, commercial connectivity, quality of life and other areas, and explores the compelling global and regional economic trends that distinguish these cities as future development hubs.
Some key findings from the study include: -- China led the Emerging Markets Index ranking overall, with 15 of the top 30 cities. Shanghai and Beijing held the number one and two spots respectively. -- Budapest ranked third overall, helped by its heritage as one of the first eastern European countries to initiate trading with the West following the Cold War.
“As the current financial environment shows, globalization is a part of today’s economic reality — capital, talent, technology and even intellectual property now move seamlessly across borders and nations,” said Dr. Michael Goldberg, Program Director, MasterCard Worldwide Centers of Commerce. “Emerging market cities will play an increasingly important role in global commerce and may provide unique market opportunities for businesses in the face of changing economic times.”
The Index, developed by a panel of nine independent experts in economics, sociology and urban studies, is part of the broader MasterCard Worldwide Centers of Commerce(TM) program — a global initiative to examine the role of cities in performing critical functions that connect markets and commerce around the world.
Chinese Cities Dominate the Index. With 15 cities ranked in the top 30 and four in the top ten including #1 Shanghai, #2 Beijing, #6 Guangzhou and #10 Shenzhen, China outshone all other countries in the Index. Chinese cities placed among the top ten within the Index in measures relating to their commercial climate, economic growth and business connectivity, and held all top ten spots in the area related to education and IT connectivity. China’s national economy played a key role in its city rankings, as has the visionary leadership of Shanghai, an important global commercial center.
Outsourcing Engine India Second Only to China. Led by Mumbai, the number one city in a critical dimension related to financial markets, eight Indian cities appeared in the Index, more than any country other than China. Scoring well in measures related to security and risk and connectivity, this showing reflects the leadership of cities like Chennai, a global center for automotive and film production.
Commercial Heritage Helps Propel Budapest to #3 Spot. The number one city in the Index for dimensions covering quality of life and risk and security, Budapest also scores among the top ten for its economic and commercial environment and its business climate. A former world capital, Budapest was among the first Eastern European cities to trade with the West following the Cold War and is benefiting from its first mover initiatives.
Moscow, Russia’s Most Connected City, Places Within Top 15 Cities. Among the top five cities in the Index in dimensions related to air passenger, cargo volume and other measures of connectivity, as well as financial market volumes, #14 Moscow leads the four Russian cities ranked in the Index.
Methodology
The MasterCard Worldwide Centers of Commerce(TM): Emerging Markets Index is compiled from research by a panel of nine independent economic, urban development and social-science experts from leading academic and research institutions around the world, led by Dr. Michael Goldberg, Program Director, MasterCard Worldwide Centers of Commerce Program.
To form the Index, the panel rigorously identified 65 cities around the world that met their initial stringent criteria. Cities were then rated on eight key dimensions as follows:
-- Economic and Commercial Environment -- Economic Growth and Development -- Business Environment -- Financial Services Environment -- Commercial Connectivity -- Education and IT Connectivity -- Quality of Urban Life -- Risk and Security
The process entailed measuring a number of carefully weighted, relevant indicators and sub-indicators that aggregate available data relevant to each dimension. The panel evaluated a total of eight dimensions comprised of 65 indicators and 89 sub-indicators to derive an Index score for each city, a process that goes well beyond traditional measures used to gauge worldwide financial and business activity.
Worldwide Centers of Commerce: Emerging Markets Index Research Team
Leading the Worldwide Centers of Commerce program is Professor Michael Goldberg, Program Director. With more than 40 years of experience, Professor Goldberg has consulted for businesses and governments in Canada, the U.S. and Asia, lectured at 50 universities and research institutes in 16 countries and authored or co-authored nine books and more than 200 academic and professional articles. To assist him in this research, Dr. Yuwa Hedrick-Wong, Economic Advisor for MasterCard Worldwide, APMEA Region, initially assembled and chaired a panel of leading experts in economics, urban development and social-science from around the world, including the following:
-- Professor Fan Gang, Director, National Economic Research Institute, Beijing -- Mr. Manu Bhaskaran, Partner/Head, Economic Research, Centennial Group, Singapore -- Professor William Lever, Emeritus Professor of Urban Studies, University of Glasgow -- Professor Maurice D. Levi, Chair of Bank of Montreal Professor of International Finance, University of British Columbia -- Dr. Anthony Pellegrini, Partner/ Director of the Urban and Infrastructure Policy and Finance Practice, Centennial Group, Washington, D.C. -- Professor Saskia Sassen, Helen and Robert Lynd Professor of Sociology, Committee on Global Thought and Department of Sociology, Columbia University -- Professor Peter J. Taylor, Director, Globalization and World Cities (GaWC) Research Network, Loughborough University, UK 2008 MasterCard Worldwide Emerging Market Index Ranking Rank City Country 1 Shanghai China 2 Beijing China 3 Budapest Hungary 4 Kuala Lumpur Malaysia 5 Santiago Chile 6 Guangzhou China 7 Mexico City Mexico 8 Warsaw Poland 9 Bangkok Thailand 10 Shenzhen China 11 Johannesburg South Africa 12 Sao Paulo Brazil 13 Buenos Aires Argentina 14 Moscow Russia 15 Istanbul Turkey 16 Xiamen China 17 Chengdu China 18 Dalian China 19 Mumbai India 20 Tianjin China 20 Nanjing China 22 Hangzhou China 23 Wuhan China 24 Chongqing China 25 Qingdao China 26 Xian China 27 Harbin China 28 New Delhi India 28 Monterrey Mexico 30 Sofia Bulgaria 31 Montevideo Uruguay 32 Bucharest Romania 33 Cape Town South Africa 34 Lima Peru 35 Bogota Colombia 36 Rio de Janeiro Brazil 37 Durban South Africa 38 Bangalore India 39 Chennai India 40 Tunis Tunisia 41 St. Petersburg Russia 42 Brasilia Brazil 42 Jakarta Indonesia 44 Cairo Egypt 45 Manila Philippines 46 Hyderabad India 47 Recife Brazil 48 Kolkata India 49 Curitiba Brazil 50 Ankara Turkey 51 Santo Domingo Dominican Republic 52 Pune India 53 Casablanca Morocco 54 Coimbatore India 55 Quito Ecuador 56 Ho Chi Minh City Vietnam 57 Kiev Ukraine 58 Medellin Colombia 59 Yekaterinburg Russia 60 Beirut Lebanon 61 Caracas Venezuela 62 Novosibirsk Russia 63 Nairobi Kenya 64 Karachi Pakistan 65 Dakar Senegal




